Match spotlight · Fri 21 Aug, 20:00
86%ARS WIN

Arsenal vs Coventry City

Attack index 78 meets defense index 50 — the biggest mismatch of the week.

Viktor Gyokeres 47% to scoreOver 2.5 goals · 70%Full assessment →
30
Most likely score
Gameweek 1 board — all assessments
ARSCOVFri 20:00
86%11%4%
HULMUNSat 12:30
28%26%46%
IPSSUNSat 15:00
26%28%45%
NOTLEESat 15:00
36%27%37%
EVECRYSat 15:00
38%28%34%
BRETOTSat 17:30
51%25%24%
MCIBOUSun 14:00
58%22%20%
BHAAVLSun 14:00
44%27%30%
NEWLIVSun 16:30
37%25%38%
FULCHEMon 20:00
34%26%40%
Today’s headlines
safest pick
86%
Arsenal win — The week's most lopsided assessment: ARS vs COV.
captaincy
1.04
Bruno Fernandes projected G+A — The fantasy play of the week (at HUL).
trap game
37%
Newcastle United upset watch — The lower-index side has real upset equity: NEW vs LIV.
Player projections — Gameweek 1
PlayerFixtureProj xGProj xAP(Goal)P(Assist)
Bruno Fernandes MUNat HUL0.200.8318%56%
Enzo Le Fée SUNat IPS0.110.8910%59%
Dango Ouattara BREvs TOT0.330.4228%34%
Viktor Gyokeres ARSvs COV0.630.1247%11%
Thiago BREvs TOT0.660.0748%7%
Kai Havertz ARSvs COV0.490.1739%16%
Dominik Szoboszlai LIVat NEW0.130.5212%41%
Ollie Watkins AVLat BHA0.520.1241%12%
William Osula NEWvs LIV0.540.0742%7%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin LEEat NOT0.570.0143%1%
Mathis Cherki MCIvs BOU0.170.3816%32%
Richarlison TOTat BRE0.390.1532%14%
Enzo Fernández CHEat FUL0.210.3219%28%
Jack Hinshelwood BHAvs AVL0.350.1829%16%
Marcus Tavernier BOUat MCI0.270.2524%22%
Brian Brobbey SUNat IPS0.430.0935%8%
Bryan Mbeumo MUNat HUL0.380.1032%10%
Mathys Tel TOTat BRE0.100.389%32%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall EVEvs CRY0.210.2619%23%
Cody Gakpo LIVat NEW0.320.1427%13%

Projections assume recent minutes patterns — the model doesn’t know lineups. Full method: /model.

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Data through 2026-08-15 · model dc-v1 · every prediction on the record at /model.