La Liga · engine xGB Core v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries

Atlético vs Málaga

Wednesday 19 Aug, 19:00

73 · 16 · 11ATM · draw · MAL

2–0

Likeliest ATM win · 12%

ATLÉTICO 73%DRAW 16%MÁLAGA 11%

Goals

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals40%

Both teams score51%

Double chance

ATM or draw89%

Draw or MAL27%

ATM or MALno draw84%

Draw no bet

ATMstake returned on a draw87%

MAL13%

Clean sheets

ATM clean sheet44%

MAL clean sheet9%

Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.

Head to head · 8 meetings since 2014/15

ATM 61 drawn1 MAL

2017/18Málaga0–1Atlético2018-02-10

2017/18Atlético1–0Málaga2017-09-16

2016/17Málaga0–2Atlético2017-04-01

2016/17Atlético4–2Málaga2016-10-29

2015/16Atlético1–0Málaga2016-04-23

Match-level assessment — scorer projections need per-match player data this league doesn't have yet. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.