La Liga · engine xGB Core v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries

Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés

Thursday 20 Aug, 19:00
49 · 24 · 28RAY · draw · ALA
10
Likeliest RAY win · 11%
RAYO VALLECANO 49%DRAW 24%ALAVÉS 28%
Goals
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score54%
Double chance
RAY or draw73%
Draw or ALA51%
RAY or ALAno draw76%
Draw no bet
RAYstake returned on a draw64%
ALA36%
Clean sheets
RAY clean sheet32%
ALA clean sheet20%

Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.

Head to head · 10 meetings since 2018/19
RAY 70 drawn3 ALA
2025/26Alavés12Rayo Vallecano2026-05-23
2025/26Rayo Vallecano10Alavés2025-10-26
2024/25Alavés02Rayo Vallecano2025-03-29
2024/25Rayo Vallecano10Alavés2024-10-26
2023/24Alavés10Rayo Vallecano2024-03-10

Match-level assessment — scorer projections need per-match player data this league doesn't have yet. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.