La Liga · engine xGB Core v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries
Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés
Thursday 20 Aug, 19:00
49 · 24 · 28RAY · draw · ALA
1–0
Likeliest RAY win · 11%
RAYO VALLECANO 49%DRAW 24%ALAVÉS 28%
Goals
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score54%
Double chance
RAY or draw73%
Draw or ALA51%
RAY or ALAno draw76%
Draw no bet
RAYstake returned on a draw64%
ALA36%
Clean sheets
RAY clean sheet32%
ALA clean sheet20%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Head to head · 10 meetings since 2018/19
RAY 70 drawn3 ALA
2025/26Alavés1–2Rayo Vallecano2026-05-23
2025/26Rayo Vallecano1–0Alavés2025-10-26
2024/25Alavés0–2Rayo Vallecano2025-03-29
2024/25Rayo Vallecano1–0Alavés2024-10-26
2023/24Alavés1–0Rayo Vallecano2024-03-10
Match-level assessment — scorer projections need per-match player data this league doesn't have yet. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.