La Liga · engine xGB Core v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries

Athletic vs Sevilla

Saturday 22 Aug, 15:00
58 · 23 · 19ATH · draw · SEV
10
Likeliest ATH win · 14%
ATHLETIC 58%DRAW 23%SEVILLA 19%
Goals
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams score46%
Double chance
ATH or draw81%
Draw or SEV42%
ATH or SEVno draw77%
Draw no bet
ATHstake returned on a draw75%
SEV25%
Clean sheets
ATH clean sheet43%
SEV clean sheet19%

Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.

Head to head · 24 meetings since 2014/15
ATH 113 drawn10 SEV
2025/26Sevilla21Athletic2026-01-24
2025/26Athletic32Sevilla2025-08-17
2024/25Sevilla01Athletic2025-03-16
2024/25Athletic11Sevilla2024-09-29
2023/24Athletic20Sevilla2024-05-19

Match-level assessment — scorer projections need per-match player data this league doesn't have yet. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.