La Liga · engine xGB Core v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries

Espanyol vs Real Madrid

Saturday 22 Aug, 19:30

25 · 23 · 52ESP · draw · RMA

0–1

Likeliest RMA win · 10%

ESPANYOL 25%DRAW 23%REAL MADRID 52%

Goals

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams score56%

Double chance

ESP or draw48%

Draw or RMA75%

ESP or RMAno draw77%

Draw no bet

ESPstake returned on a draw33%

RMA67%

Clean sheets

ESP clean sheet18%

RMA clean sheet32%

Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.

Head to head · 20 meetings since 2014/15

ESP 30 drawn17 RMA

2025/26Espanyol0–2Real Madrid2026-05-03

2025/26Real Madrid2–0Espanyol2025-09-20

2024/25Espanyol1–0Real Madrid2025-02-01

2024/25Real Madrid4–1Espanyol2024-09-21

2022/23Real Madrid3–1Espanyol2023-03-11

Match-level assessment — scorer projections need per-match player data this league doesn't have yet. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.