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Atlético vs Villarreal

Sunday 23 Aug, 15:00

51 · 21 · 28ATM · draw · VIL

2–1

Likeliest ATM win · 9%

ATLÉTICO 51%DRAW 21%VILLARREAL 28%

Goals

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals67%

Over 3.5 goals45%

Both teams score66%

Double chance

ATM or draw72%

Draw or VIL49%

ATM or VILno draw79%

Draw no bet

ATMstake returned on a draw65%

VIL35%

Clean sheets

ATM clean sheet24%

VIL clean sheet13%

Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.

Head to head · 24 meetings since 2014/15

ATM 710 drawn7 VIL

2025/26Villarreal5–1Atlético2026-05-24

2025/26Atlético2–0Villarreal2025-09-13

2024/25Atlético1–1Villarreal2025-01-25

2024/25Villarreal2–2Atlético2024-08-19

2023/24Villarreal1–2Atlético2024-04-01

Match-level assessment — scorer projections need per-match player data this league doesn't have yet. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.