La Liga · engine xGB Core v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries

Elche vs Barcelona

Sunday 23 Aug, 19:30

19 · 18 · 63ELC · draw · BAR

1–2

Likeliest BAR win · 9%

ELCHE 19%DRAW 18%BARCELONA 63%

Goals

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals50%

Both teams score65%

Double chance

ELC or draw37%

Draw or BAR81%

ELC or BARno draw82%

Draw no bet

ELCstake returned on a draw23%

BAR77%

Clean sheets

ELC clean sheet9%

BAR clean sheet28%

Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.

Head to head · 10 meetings since 2014/15

ELC 00 drawn10 BAR

2025/26Elche1–3Barcelona2026-01-31

2025/26Barcelona3–1Elche2025-11-02

2022/23Elche0–4Barcelona2023-04-01

2022/23Barcelona3–0Elche2022-09-17

2021/22Elche1–2Barcelona2022-03-06

Match-level assessment — scorer projections need per-match player data this league doesn't have yet. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.