La Liga · engine xGB Core v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Wednesday 26 Aug, 19:00
73 · 15 · 12RMA · draw · RSO
21
Likeliest RMA win · 9%
REAL MADRID 73%DRAW 15%REAL SOCIEDAD 12%
Goals
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score59%
Double chance
RMA or draw88%
Draw or RSO28%
RMA or RSOno draw85%
Draw no bet
RMAstake returned on a draw86%
RSO14%
Clean sheets
RMA clean sheet37%
RSO clean sheet7%

Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.

Head to head · 24 meetings since 2014/15
RMA 173 drawn4 RSO
2025/26Real Madrid41Real Sociedad2026-02-14
2025/26Real Sociedad12Real Madrid2025-09-13
2024/25Real Madrid20Real Sociedad2025-05-24
2024/25Real Sociedad02Real Madrid2024-09-14
2023/24Real Sociedad01Real Madrid2024-04-26

Match-level assessment — scorer projections need per-match player data this league doesn't have yet. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.