La Liga · engine xGB Core v1 · doesn't know lineups or injuries
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad
Wednesday 26 Aug, 19:00
73 · 15 · 12RMA · draw · RSO
2–1
Likeliest RMA win · 9%
REAL MADRID 73%DRAW 15%REAL SOCIEDAD 12%
Goals
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score59%
Double chance
RMA or draw88%
Draw or RSO28%
RMA or RSOno draw85%
Draw no bet
RMAstake returned on a draw86%
RSO14%
Clean sheets
RMA clean sheet37%
RSO clean sheet7%
Model probabilities, not odds and not advice. Our own leaderboard shows no model here beats the closing market once the bookmaker’s margin is paid.
Head to head · 24 meetings since 2014/15
RMA 173 drawn4 RSO
2025/26Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad2026-02-14
2025/26Real Sociedad1–2Real Madrid2025-09-13
2024/25Real Madrid2–0Real Sociedad2025-05-24
2024/25Real Sociedad0–2Real Madrid2024-09-14
2023/24Real Sociedad0–1Real Madrid2024-04-26
Match-level assessment — scorer projections need per-match player data this league doesn't have yet. Recorded before kickoff, revised only until kickoff, graded after full time. Probabilities, never advice.